December 15, 2004

Cole responds

Posted by Chris

The other day, I took a crack at Juan Cole for this post. I read Cole every day, and find him a valuable resource. But sometimes I think he just gets something wrong, and this is one of them. In the offending post, Cole recommended another blogger's post which indulged in some dark and baseless speculation about the motives and backing a few Iraqi bloggers. I don't think he should have done that - not without better evidence.

Anyhow, out of curiosity, I poked around a bit on some right wing sites and found that his comments had infuriated a lot of people. Indeed, a consensus appears to be forming in some quarters around the assertion that Cole is "pond scum" - which is, I think, really not a nice thing to call someone. Perhaps the most repeated claim about Cole is that his remarks show that his brain has been marinating in shrill anti-Americanism for so long that he can't bear to hear any good news, which is what the Iraqi bloggers in question apparently provide. But a) that's clearly false; and b) if ever there were a lot who couldn't bear unwanted news, it's the lot currently accusing Cole of being unable to bear unwanted news.

Cole has responded to the criticisms, and I think at the weakest point of the argument against him:

My allegation that the IraqTheModel website is far outside the norm of Iraqi public opinion as measured by polling has caused a stir in the weblogging world among, apparently, dittoheads who can't read polls.

Here are the results of an April, 2004, Gallup poll, which was scientifically weighted and involved over 3000 face-to-face interviews all over the country.

On Balance, do you think of the Americans mostly as Occupiers or liberators?

Occupiers: 71 %
Liberators 19%

(43% reported that in April 2003, they had thought of the Americans as liberators).

How have the US Forces Conducted themselves?

58% said "fairly badly" or "very badly."

Asked if the US was serious about establishing democracy in Iraq:

50% said "no."
12% said "don't know."

Asked if attacks on US troops could be justified, 52% said "sometimes," "somewhat," or "completely."

The United States had an unfavorability rating of 54% (and there wasn't a significant difference between the Shiites and the Sunni Arabs).

Only 31% favored a separation of mosque and state! (But 66% of Kurds did).

Only 30% of the Arab population favored a multiparty parliamentary democracy!

So far, so good. Most criticisms of Cole skirted past the awkward fact that most Iraqis are (justifiably) pissed off at the U.S. right now, and that the right's habit of holding up its favourite Iraqi bloggers in order to deflect attention from this is sort of pathetic. (I've been toying with the idea that it's a bit like depicting pre-War Iraq in a documentary by showing children flying kites.) But then there is this:
I drew attention to Martini Republic's questions about the independence of IraqTheModel without actually expressing any opinion myself one way or another, except to say that they are out of the Iraqi mainstream. The dittoheads who read them and can look at the above polling figures and come to a different conclusion are just innumerate (if only they were also so illiterate as to be unable to figure out my email address).
I think that's just silly. Go back and read the post to see if you think that Cole offers a plausible interpretation of his own post. I think he doesn't. He drew attention to the Martini Republic's questions in a way that seemed to clearly imply approval, and he juxtaposed speculation about the blog with speculation about other nefarious doings. When the Instapundit pulls this kind of nonsense, we all know to call bullshit on him. We should know enough to call bullshit on Cole in this case too.

Posted by Chris at December 15, 2004 04:36 PM
Comments

I disagree with you. I read Cole daily and I read that post and interpreted it completely differently.

Note where he says: The phenomenon of blog trolling, and frankly of blog agents provocateurs secretly working for a particular group or goal and deliberately attempting to spread disinformation, is likely to grow in importance. It is a technique made for the well-funded Neoconservatives, for instance, and I have my suspicions about one or two sites out there already.

This is straight after reporting on Martini Repubic's questions. He said he had suspicions on one or two sites out there, he did not say he had suspicions on IraqTheModel. If he did have these suspicions then rather than simply report on another person's suspicious he would clearly have stated that he too shared the suspicions about ITM. No, he simply reported on Martini Republic's concerns and added some commentry and facts of his own (namely that blog provocateurs - my term not his - was a phenomenon that was likely to grow).

At the time I thought he was being silly in holding back on ITM, because it is quite obvious if you read ITM that the brothers are blog provocateurs, that they mouth the neo-Con BS and for goodness' sake even the name (Iraq The Model) is echoing neo-Con ideology about transforming the Middle East, with Iraq as the first example state.

I mean, to any independent and critical observer it would appear that these guys (ITM) are in the pay of the occupying regime and engaged in psy-ops. The fact that the right-wing blogs are making such a manic din at the mere hint of an accusation of this is the cherry on top.

Posted by: bbm at December 15, 2004 06:40 PM

Yes, yes, no doubt they're complete pills. And no doubt they're (now) in a small minority of Iraqi opinion. And as I said in the first post, it would hardly be surprising if the CIA hadn't figured out a way to coopt (or worse) some bloggers.

But just because what they say is convenient for the right, doesn't mean that they're in the pay of the right or the CIA or anyone else (in the more sinister, non-paypalish sense). Why not just think that they're wackjobs, or very naive, or self-hating Iraqis, or whatever? (After all, if the injustices of the U.S. in Iraq can drive Iraqis to wacky political positions, why not the depredations of the Baath regime under S.H.?) The accusation that they're funded by the CIA seems unfair to make without good reason - exactly as it was unfair of right-wingers during the Cold War to cast suspicion on lefties who made criticisms of the U.S. that (they took to) fit a broadly Soviet agenda.

As for what Cole said, well . . . part of my point is that what he said differed from what he could reasonably be construed as implying. I did not read Cole as saying, "Oh here's this possibility that I'm completely neutral on." I read him as attempting to cast suspicion without actually explicitly accusing anyone. If I've got him wrong, then clearly I owe HIM an apology. But I don't think I've got him wrong.

Posted by: Chris at December 15, 2004 07:13 PM

Cole writes: I drew attention to Martini Republic's questions about the independence of IraqTheModel without actually expressing any opinion myself one way or another, except to say that they are out of the Iraqi mainstream.

This is not the whole truth. In the original post Cole cites the fact (is it? I don't know.) that the ISP that the brothers use is based in Texas. That citation clearly outruns simply saying "that they are out of the Iraqi mainstream." And yes, the immediate juxtaposing of ITM with "Riverbend" signals some real suspicions on Cole's part.

However, Cole does not suggest that he thinks they are funded by the neo-conservatives. His statement that he has "suspicions about one or two sites out there already" is separated from his remarks about ITM.

Posted by: Paul at December 15, 2004 08:14 PM

Paul, yes I agree that the "suspicions" comment wasn't referring to ITM. But I also agree with your other comments.

By the way, Cole's ISP comment struck me as bizarre. The brothers are using Blogger, so why would their ISP be relevant? Surely it would just be Blogger's ISP . . . ?

Anyway, I'm not trying to make a bigger deal out of this than it is. I just thought it was worth commenting on.

Posted by: Chris at December 15, 2004 08:28 PM

For what its worth, after going back and reading Cole's blog I don't think he was accusing the bloggers in question.

Peter

Posted by: peter at December 16, 2004 07:42 AM

Peter, he wasn't explicitly accusing the bloggers. My claim is that he was implicitly accusing them, which is a tougher call, but if I'm right is just as smarmy.

Posted by: Chris at December 16, 2004 10:28 AM

as much as i like cole, it's hard for me to read his mention of the ISP as anything other than a suggestion that the iraqi blog is fake. sure, it wasn't explicit, but as chris said, what else what the ISP bit supposed to mean?

as i think i commented in the last cole thread, i have my own suspicions about the iraq the model guy. but, in the end, i have to admit that my suspicions are almost completely based on my disagreement with the content of what he writes. like every other blogger i read, i basically have to give him the benefit of doubt that he is who he says he is absent some evidence to the contrary. offhand hints about american ISPs doesn't count as evidence

Posted by: upyernoz at December 16, 2004 12:33 PM

"The accusation that they're funded by the CIA seems unfair to make without good reason"

Ahh! Yes Chris, he has no "proof" but no definite accusation either, he was just making inferences based on very reasonable heuristics and history and common sense.

Posted by: Matthew at December 17, 2004 06:24 AM

I don't understand some of your guys' comments. Cole said "suspicions have been raised" and didn't go the whole hog of supporting them himself. To me that is simple, and yet some of you feel that by raising that there are suspicions he must have an agenda of promoting and supporting those suspicions. That's not how ideas work in a free society. We are free to raise suspicions, and to report on other peoples' suspicions but to maintain an open mind. Later events and investigations can confirm or deny those suspicions. At which time we will have a fixed view. If we didn't report our own suspicions (or in Cole's case the suspicions of someone else) until we have facts one way or the other then we will never advance our knowledge.

It seems to be a peculiar American attitude where the dominant view is that nobody should voice this kind of thing until there is clear and unequivocal proof. And the basis of this cultural behaviour seems to be that if you raise suspicions (even other peoples') then you must somehow be supporting them. Am I right? Do Americans generally have a problem with a pluralistic, post-modern world in which there are multiple realities?

Posted by: bbm at December 20, 2004 07:38 AM

I don't understand some of your guys' comments. Cole said "suspicions have been raised" and didn't go the whole hog of supporting them himself. To me that is simple, and yet some of you feel that by raising that there are suspicions he must have an agenda of promoting and supporting those suspicions. That's not how ideas work in a free society. We are free to raise suspicions, and to report on other peoples' suspicions but to maintain an open mind. Later events and investigations can confirm or deny those suspicions. At which time we will have a fixed view. If we didn't report our own suspicions (or in Cole's case the suspicions of someone else) until we have facts one way or the other then we will never advance our knowledge.

It seems to be a peculiar American attitude where the dominant view is that nobody should voice this kind of thing until there is clear and unequivocal proof. And the basis of this cultural behaviour seems to be that if you raise suspicions (even other peoples') then you must somehow be supporting them. Am I right? Do Americans generally have a problem with a pluralistic, post-modern world in which there are multiple realities?

Posted by: bbm at December 20, 2004 07:40 AM

BBM, I agree that this is a tricky question. And no, I don't mean to suggest that no one should ever voice suspicions. But just imagine if the shoe were on the other foot. Just imagine if a right-winger were raising questions about Cole or me or you in the same way: by linking approvingly to a site attacking one of us without much in the way of evidence; of hinting darkly at worse things; etc. It's very like the smears directed at lefties during the Cold War by winger types.

I'm not sure what my meta-position on all this should be; on where exactly the lines ought to be drawn. But the right lines, if we can find them, will be able to explain at a minimum why the Cold War smears were morally wrong. If we had those in place, then we could go on to ask which side of the line Cole falls on.

So I suppose my question for you is whether you have a settled view of your own on that question. Were the smarmy Cold War insinuations (without evidence) about the patriotism, honesty, integrity, etc. of particular lefties out of bounds? If so, why? And does the answer to that commit us to a position about Cole's remarks? Or is there a relevant difference I've overlooked (beyond the obvious differences in political sympathies).

(By the way, I'm a Canadian living in the U.S., if it makes a difference.)

Posted by: Chris at December 20, 2004 09:19 AM

I think there is a big difference between the right's cold war smears against the left and what Cole is doing. Cold War era lefties were not treasonous commies and the right had no genuine threat to seek out. The smears themselves were propaganda. On the otherhand, CIA and NED sponsored domestic propaganda does exist and people have a legitimate right and need to challenge it and raise suspicions about it.

Mann has some words about intellectuals according legitimacy to anti-intellectuals in the marketplace of ideas: "Today we can see clearly that it was a mistake of our civilization to have been all too generous in exercising such forbearance and respect - since on the opposing side we were dealing with naked insolence and the most determined intolerance."

Posted by: peter at December 22, 2004 10:03 AM


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